After the ceasefire, prices did not revert, instead the market shifted toward a demand-driven adjustment phase, with recycled materials seeing stronger application-level pull due to high virgin prices.
Key Market Behaviour
- • Virgin polymer prices remained elevated, keeping recycled materials cost-competitive
- • Recycled polymers continued to trade at ~25–40% lower than virgin equivalents, depending on application
- • This led to increased substitution across cost-sensitive segments
Application-Level Shifts
rPP
- • Injection moulding products
- • Household goods and furniture
Demand improved by ~10–20% in price-sensitive applications
rHDPE
- • Blow moulding (containers, drums)
- • Pipes and industrial packaging
Substitution with recycled increased by ~15–25% in non-critical applications
rPET
Stable demand from:
- • Textile fibre (polyester)
- • Non-food packaging
Limited substitution shift, but steady demand maintained due to cost advantage and availability
Price Behaviour Post Ceasefire
- • rPP & rHDPE:
Slight correction from peak, but remain ~20–35% above pre-conflict levels - • rPET:
Showing wider variation across grades, indicating early signs of market imbalance
👉 The market is not correcting back — it is realigning based on application economics
Market Overview: From Cost Shock to Demand Shift
The transition from conflict to ceasefire has shifted the market dynamic:
- • Initial phase driven by cost and supply disruption
- • Current phase driven by application-level demand and substitution
- • Recycled polymers are now benefiting from sustained high virgin prices
Market Sentiment: Strategic Buying, Not Panic
- • Buyers are now actively evaluating recycled options
- • Procurement is cost-driven but selective
- • Demand is shifting toward applications where performance trade-offs are acceptable
Polymint Market View
The recent movement highlights a critical shift:
Recycled polymers are no longer just a low-cost alternative, they are becoming a strategic material choice
Prices may stabilize, but demand for recycled polymers is likely to remain strong, particularly in non-critical and cost-sensitive applications.
Key observations:
- • Price spikes are event-driven, but demand shifts are structural
- • High virgin prices are accelerating recycled adoption in real applications
- • The market is transitioning toward cost-performance optimization
